TSV Hartberg host Austria Vienna in an Austrian Bundesliga fixture where recent history heavily favours the visitors. With limited current season data available, the head-to-head record becomes the primary analytical pillar for this encounter.
Form and Statistics
Austria Vienna's dominance over Hartberg is statistically overwhelming. In their last five meetings, Vienna have won four and drawn one, maintaining an unbeaten streak that stretches back to February 2024. More impressively, they've won three consecutive matches against Hartberg, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent November 2024 encounter.
The scoring patterns reveal Vienna's control: they've netted in all five meetings, accumulating 8 goals while conceding just 4. Hartberg have failed to score in three of these five matches, managing just one goal in each of the other two. This defensive solidity from Vienna is particularly notable, as they've kept clean sheets in three of the last five H2H clashes.
- Austria Vienna: 4 wins, 1 draw in last 5 H2H
- Hartberg: 0 wins, managing just 4 total goals across 5 matches
- Vienna unbeaten in this fixture since before February 2024
- Three Vienna clean sheets in last 5 meetings
The Value Pick
The away win is priced at 2.15, implying approximately 46% probability. Given Vienna's 80% win rate in recent H2H fixtures and their complete dominance in this matchup, our model estimates their true winning probability closer to 52%. This creates a +6% edge—the strongest value proposition across all markets.
The BTTS market also reflects Hartberg's offensive struggles against Vienna, with 'No' heavily favoured at 1.29 odds. While the Under 2.5 at 1.78 has merit, the straight away win offers superior value for those seeking the best risk-reward ratio.
Recommended bet: Austria Vienna to win at 2.15 odds. The historical dominance is clear, and the price undervalues their probability of extending this winning streak to four consecutive victories over Hartberg.