Levadiakos host Greek Super League giants Olympiakos Piraeus on September 20, 2026, in what appears a deeply lopsided encounter. The bookmakers have priced Olympiakos at 1.39 to win away, while Levadiakos sit at a distant 7.6. The form and historical data strongly support this disparity.
Form and Statistics
Levadiakos enter this fixture with catastrophic form, posting just 8% across their last five matches—indicative of multiple losses and minimal points gained. Olympiakos, by contrast, carry 58% form, suggesting consistent results and positive momentum. While specific goals-per-game data is unavailable, the form differential alone—a staggering 50 percentage points—signals a chasm in current quality.
The head-to-head record reinforces Olympiakos' dominance. In their last five meetings, Olympiakos have won four times, including three clean sheets (1-0, 2-0, 2-0, 1-0). Levadiakos managed one anomalous 3-2 victory in December 2021, but that result stands as an outlier against a pattern of comprehensive defeats. Most recently, Olympiakos secured a 1-0 away win in November 2022, demonstrating their ability to control matches even on the road against this opponent.
The Value Pick
The away win at 1.39 implies a 72% probability after removing the bookmaker's overround. Our model assigns Olympiakos a 78% chance of victory, creating a positive edge of approximately +6%. This edge emerges from Olympiakos' proven superiority: they have historically dismantled Levadiakos, conceding just five goals across five H2H fixtures while scoring eight. Combined with the dramatic form gap and Levadiakos' current struggles, the fundamentals support backing the favourite.
While 1.39 offers minimal returns, the confidence level is high. Olympiakos possess the quality, momentum, and psychological advantage. For those seeking safer plays in accumulator bets or simply backing the most probable outcome, Olympiakos to win at 1.39 is the logical selection. Levadiakos have shown little to suggest they can reverse their recent history or current malaise.